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Apocalyptic Disappointments
and the “Appointed Times of the Nations”
A characteristic of some Christian cults 1 indigenous to America is
predictive prophecy. The nineteenth century gave rise to a number of
groups eagerly anticipating the fulfillment of God’s scheme of redemption
in America as the promised land. The confusion and spiritual malaise that
seemed to exist among the traditional churches provoked many to search
outside the mainstream for the “truth.” Revivals helped to remedy these
problems in the traditional churches, to a degree, by unifying some
denominations. At the same time,
The revivals left many individuals distraught and torn by anxiety; and, having
tried without success to gain a sense of assurance in their own churches, they
were in a receptive mood to listen to new prophets who offered definite
guarantees of spiritual security. 2
Hudson gives three emphases stimulated by revival which created
the climate out of which cults, sects, and communities evolved:
“immediate confrontation with God…perfect sanctification…millennial
expectation.” 3 It was primarily the last of these emphases that gave
impetus to a mentality which focused on the specific date for Christ’s
return. An early expression of this was given by William Miller who
calculated that the return of Christ would occur in 1844. Although Miller
and his followers experienced a “great disappointment” when Christ failed
to return, some remained resolute in their hope. Following his death his
followers divided into three groups, one of which was led by Ellen G.
White. She concluded that Christ actually did return as Miller predicted,
but only in a spiritual sense into the “most holy place” (Dan. 8:14; Heb.
9). His physical presence was not realized because Christians had failed
to observe the Sabbath. This doctrine was later called “the investigative
judgment” by those who followed White, viz., the Seventh Day Adventists.
“The investigative judgment” doctrine has been seriously challenged from
1 “Cult” is difficult to define. Generally, a Christian “cult” is a group which differs
significantly on one or more of the basic orthodox beliefs—particularly in reference to
Theology, Christology, and Soteriology—of the normative expressions of the Christian
faith. The group usually centers around and submits to an individual’s or organization’s
authoritative interpretation of the Bible. Consequently, there is frequently some sense
of “progressive revelation” espoused. Cults generally view themselves outside of
mainstream Christianity, which they perceive as apostate.
2 Winthrop S. Hudson and John Corrigan, Religion in America: An Historical Account of
the Development of American Religious Life, 5th ed. (New York: Macmillan Publishing
Company, 1992), 181.
3 Ibid.
2
within the Seventh Day Adventist church itself, but the challenge has been
countered with firm disciplinary action. 4
The Seventh Day Adventist story demonstrates a pattern replicated
later by the cult that perhaps best expresses the millennial expectation
mentality, the Jehovah’s Witnesses. This pattern includes specific date
setting by the central figure (organization), failure of fulfillment,
disappointment and disaffection among followers, reinterpretation of the
date’s meaning, challenges from within, and unilateral authoritative action.
The Watchtower Bible and Tract Society (Watchtower) is the official organ
of the Jehovah’s Witnesses tradition and tenaciously promulgates specific
eschatological dates that are central to the beliefs of its followers. It is the
purpose of this paper, first, to examine some of those dates, and, second,
demonstrate how they arrive at the most crucial date in their apocalyptic
calendar—A.D. 1914.
A LITANY OF APOCALYPTIC DISAPPOINTMENTS
1874. The earliest prophet in the Jehovah’s Witnesses 5 tradition
was Charles Taze Russell (1852 - 1916). Penton chronicles Russell’s
eschatological background rooted in the Millerite movement through
George Storrs and Nelson Barbour. 6 Barbour modified the calculations of
John Aquila Brown, the first expositor to interpret the “seven times” of
Daniel 4 as a period of 2,520 years, to arrive at the year A.D. 1914 as
the end of the “Gentile times” of Luke 21:24 (see extended discussion
below). Russell agreed with Barbour and encouraged him to write Three
Worlds and the Harvest of This World, published in 1877. This book
spells out the 1914 eschatological chronology.
Russell explicates his views in a series of six books called Studies in
the Scriptures, published by the International Bible Students Association. 7
Following Barbour, he taught that the second coming of Christ occurred in
4 See Edward E. Plowman, “The Shaking Up of Adventism?” Christianity Today 24 (8
February 1980): 64 - 67; and James C. Hefley, “Adventist Teachers Are Forced Out In a
Doctrinal Dispute,” Christianity Today 27 (18 March 1983): 23 - 25.
5 The name “Jehovah’s Witnesses” was not taken by the group until 1931 (M. James
Penton, Apocalypse Delayed: The Story of Jehovah’s Witnesses [Toronto: University of
Toronto Press, 1985], 62).
6 Ibid., 13 - 24. See also Carl Olof Jonsson, The Gentile Times Reconsidered, 2nd. ed.
(Atlanta, GA: Commentary Press, 1986), 21 - 39.
7 The Plan of the Ages (1886), The Time is at Hand (1889), Thy Kingdom Come (1891),
The Day of Vengeance (1897), The At-one-ment Between Man and God (1899), and The
New Creation (1904). A seventh volume was published posthumously in 1917 entitled
The Finished Mystery which actually contained some material by Russell as well as
others (Penton, Apocalypse, 50 - 51). In addition to these are a number of other books,
booklets, tracts, and Watchtower magazines that contain his writings. See the
bibliography in Penton, Apocalypse, 361 - 382.
3
1874. The disappointment over Christ’s failure to appear physically was
allayed by a reinterpretation of scripture yielding an “invisible presence” of
the Lord in 1874. 8 This was the beginning of the “Jubilee Year” (Lev. 25),
“the times of the restitution of all things.” It was the beginning of the last
of seven one thousand year periods of humanity from Adam, i.e., the
millennial reign of Christ from Revelation 20. 9 In 1878 Christ assumed
power as King of kings and the resurrection of the faithful (144,000)
began. 10 In 1881 the fall of Babylon the Great—the end of false
Christendom’s reign over the church—occurred. 11 This position on the
second advent of Christ was held by the organization through 1929 under
its second president, J. F. Rutherford. 12
1914. Two caveats are in order when discussing this date as
understood in the Jehovah’s Witnesses tradition. First, the later tradition
(following 1929) understands it as the second coming of Christ as
opposed to the earlier tradition’s focus on 1874 for this event. Second,
later editions of Studies in the Scriptures have been altered to
accommodate various predictive failures by Russell concerning 1914. 13
Thus, there is confusion as to precisely what the organization teaches
concerning this date.
For Russell the significance of the year 1914 is summarized in The
Time Is at Hand: 14 1) the Kingdom of God is established “on the ruins of
present institutions,” 2) proof of Christ’s presence and rule is
demonstrated, 3) the last member of the body of Christ is glorified with
Christ and rules with him, 4) the end of the times of the Gentiles comes, 5)
Israel’s blindness begins to end, 6) the great “time of trouble such as
never was since there was a nation” culminates and the “new heavens and
new earth” begin, and 7) “before that date God’s Kingdom” crushes all
civil and ecclesiastical power.
With the outbreak of the First World War Russell’s emerging
disappointment with the fulfillment of these predictions was alleviated. He
died in 1916 confident of his chronology. However, with the end of the
8 Raymond Franz, Crisis of Conscience (Atlanta, GA: Commentary Press, 1983), 142 -
147.
9 Time Is at Hand, 173 - 200; Thy Kingdom Come, 121 - 134; and Finished Mystery, 301 -
302.
10 Time Is at Hand, 239; and Day of Vengeance, 604, 621 - 622.
11 Thy Kingdom Come, 132 cf Finished Mystery, 273 - 276.
12 The Harp of God (Brooklyn: International Bible Students Association, 1921), 234 - 238;
and Prophecy (Brooklyn: International Bible Students Association/Watch Tower Bible and
Tract Society, 1929), 65 - 66.
13 E.g., the 1912 ed. of Thy Kingdom Come states the “deliverance” of the bodies of the
saints (Rom. 8:22 - 23) “must take place some time before 1914.” The 1917 ed. states
it “must take place very soon after 1914” (228) (emphasis mine).
14 76 - 78, 101.
4
war in 1918, and the failure of all seven predictions, it was up to
Rutherford once again to abate the growing disappointment of Russell’s
followers by reinterpreting the nature of what was to occur, leaving the
when firmly in place. Rutherford (in 1930) spiritualized all the events and
translated the sphere of fulfillment to heaven. As early as 1917 he was
already modifying and adding to Russell’s earlier predictions. 15 He also
changed the 1874 date of Christ’s invisible presence (and the
accompanying events of 1878) to 1914 (and 1918), the chronology
followed by Jehovah’s Witnesses to this date. 16
A major problem remains for the Jehovah’s Witnesses concerning
this date. They apply Matt. 24:34—“this generation will not pass away
until all these things take place”—to the generation of 1914. 17 Given their
definition of a generation (eighty years), 18 this application fit well with their
1975 prediction (see below), but is now (2005) facing difficulty and
another great disappointment. The number of those alive today who were
alive in 1914 is shrinking rapidly. This fact is intensified by Watchtower
statements that the “generation of 1914” was “15 years of age” in 1914, 19
and “ saw the events of 1914 C.E.” (emphasis mine). 20 Consider these
words from the Watchtower as late as 1982:
But that generation of 1914 certainly did see what happened here on earth as a
“sign” of his presence and as “a beginning of sorrows” for mankind! (Matthew
24:8, Authorized Version) And the remaining ones of that generation of 1914
are still talking about it. Some of them will be talking about it right down to the
time when the “great tribulation” wipes Satan’s wicked system of things off the
face of our globe. 21
A number of suggestions have been floated by the governing board
of the Watchtower concerning this “generation” problem: it referred only
to the 144,000, it applied only to Jesus’ generation concerning the fall of
Jerusalem in A.D. 70, it referred to the generation that saw the “Celestial
Phenomena” in Matt. 24:29 - 44 which began in 1957, marked by the
launch of the first Russian Sputnik. 22 To date, the Watchtower has clung to
the original interpretation, but disappointment is sure to follow the last
survivor of that generation.
15 Finished Mystery, 57 - 62, 128 - 129, 484 - 485, 513 - 515, 594 - 595.
16 Jonsson, Gentile Times, 29 - 36.
17 ”What Will the 1970’s Bring?” Awake! 8 October 1968, 13 - 14.
18 Aid to Bible Understanding (Brooklyn: Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York,
Inc./International Bible Students Association, 1971), 641.
19 ”What Will the 1970’s Bring?” 13 - 14.
20 This statement is on the inside cover of every issue of Awake! explaining why the
magazine is published.
21 The Watchtower 1 May 1982, 15.
22 Franz, Crisis, 214 - 220.
5
1925 . Undaunted by past prediction failures, the Bible Student
organization experienced new growth in the early twenties with the release
of Rutherford’s little book Millions Now Living Will Never Die. 23 It predicted
that the millennium would begin in 1925 based on the “jubilee system” of
Lev. 25. Specifically, Rutherford predicted the resurrection of some Old
Testament faithful:
The chief thing to be restored is the human race to life; and since other
Scriptures definitely fix the fact that there will be a resurrection of Abraham,
Isaac, Jacob and other faithful ones of old, and that these will have the first
favor, we may expect 1925 to witness the return of these faithful men of Israel
from the condition of death, being resurrected and fully restored to perfect
humanity and made visible, legal representatives of the new order of things on
earth. 24
This year marked the beginning of “the earthly phase of the kingdom.” 25 It
was “the beginning of the reconstruction,” or “restoration,” which included
the gradual restoration of “a man of seventy years of age…to the days of
his youth and [he will] live on the earth forever and never see death.” 26
A book by W. E. Amburgh, written for children, also promised the
literal physical presence of Abel, Enoch, Noah, Abraham, Isaac…John the
Baptist to whom all the faithful would have direct access: “No doubt many
boys and girls who read this book will live to see Abraham,…and those
other faithful men of old, come forth in the glory of their ‘better
resurrection,’ perfect in mind and body.” 27
Another disappointment followed the failure of these predictions.
The church experienced a serious loss of membership, members were
blamed for viewing the prediction as a “certainty” rather than a
“probability.” Rutherford admitted his mistake, but continued to assure
his followers that the Old Testament faithful would return. A house was
built in San Diego, California in 1930 to house them upon their return. 28
Nevertheless, Rutherford continued to maintain that the dates 1914,
1918, and 1925 “were definitely fixed in Scriptures; and they [the
organization] also learned to quit fixing dates for the future and predicting
what would come to pass on a certain date.” 29 Apparently, Rutherford
learned the lesson, but the Watchtower did not.
23 Brooklyn: International Bible Students Association, 1920.
24 Ibid., 88.
25 Ibid., 89.
26 Ibid., 97, 100.
27 The Way to Paradise (Brooklyn: International Bible Students Association, 1925), 226.
28 See Franz, Crisis, 190 - 197; and Penton, Apocalypse, 57 - 58.
29 Vindication, Book 1 (Brooklyn: Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society/International Bible
Students Association, 1931), 338 - 339.
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